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New iPods...Wifi / Hard Drives or Not?Thu, 08/30/2007 - 03:08 — Chauncey Dupree
Our informed readers and insiders have been somewhat split on the answers to these questions. A hard drive (compared to Flash/NAND) uses a lot of juice. Hard drive-based devices require more battery and stabilization space than RAM based device like the iPhone. To have both in a device the form-factor of an iPhone would be pretty tough - but doable if the device were to be made thicker. The hard drive alone would add significant bulk to the device and its spinning could also throw off the accelerometer that adds so much cool functionality to the iPhone's OS. However, 1.8 inch hard drives are relatively cheap and huge. For the price of a 16 Gb flash-based iPod, Apple could probably give you a 160 Gb hard drive based iPod that was a few millimeters thicker and might not have the same battery life. Would users be cool with that? Yes, certainly. Would Apple's designers? Probably less so, but it certainly is in the realm of contention - especially knowing that millions of potential customers are salivating over the possibility. As for Wifi, we know the iPhone certainly does it quite well. The only question is if including Wifi will hurt the iPhone sales (it certainly could) and will Apple - and by extension AT&T and the Euro-carriers be willing to accept that? We know Apple doesn't really care too much about it's partners but they do care about their iPhone. If they release Wifi in their iPods, they will have to beef up the storage in the iPhones at some point soon as well. Wifi-based iPods bring up a lot of other possibilities as well. Perhaps some of the storage loss by going exlusively flash RAM based could be made up by having your music/video data on Airport Extreme based, inexpensive USB hard drives? Streaming your MP3's and movies over the WLAN or Internet would be extremely cool. Just ask Sling customers. VOIP also comes to mind. We know however, that the new iPods don't have phone-like speakers and mics. Therefore, it is probably not Apple's long term plan to use the iPod as a phone. Of course Bluetooth or tethered headsets could easily be used and I am sure someone like Skype or Cisco would be happy to add a bit of software that could enable this. What about future releases? At some point in the future we know that the iPod and iPhone will be the same device. It is just too easy and imperative to add VOIP functionality to a iPod sized device. The flexibility and function of VOIP services kills traditional carriers' capabilities. Look how hard it was to get visual voicemail from AT&T? Skype and Vonage had that functionality a few years ago. When the smoke clears in the portable device industry, Apple wants their devices to the THE SINGLE device people carry around. Apple's current portable device lineup have the ability to be those devices. Maybe by Macworld, we'll see something moving in that direction.
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Misstyping or stupid adjectivization?
WTF with the term "Nazis" associated with "Apple Design"?
sorry - culturally
sorry - culturally insensitive - changing
Wifi or not, what I hope the
Wifi or not, what I hope the most is that they will add :
- the same keyboard as the iPhone
- PDA-like apps (calc, notes, editable contacts & events, ...)
... which is really possible because it's supposed to be OS X based, like the iPhone.
I'm with you on this one!
Since the current iPods already have non-editable notes, contacts, and calendar, I hope the new iPod has the soft keyboard and allows creation and editing of these things.
I know it's not a big needed feature or anything, but it's very handy for me to jot down notes and ideas during the day. I find the iPhone keyboard to be quite usable, with its very good autocorrection.
devices with a hard drive and an accelerometer
Both the Everun and the OQO Model 02 have a hard drive and an accelerometer. The Everun actually touts as a selling point the same sort of auto-rotation that the iPhone does. The OQO Model 02 does auto-rotation with a free hack available on the web. (The accelerometer on the OQO was intended as a drop sensor to protect the hard drive.) Considering that auto-rotation works fairly well, even on the OQO Model 02 which wasn't designed for it, I think Apple can create an iPod with both a hard drive and an accelerometer if they want to.
Apple touts up to 20 hours of audio playback, or up to 6.5 hours of video playback on their current 5.5G 80Gb iPods. Based on this, I don't think hard drive power consumption is a huge problem for iPods. I doubt a larger hard drive would cut into those times at all. However, wifi will. But, unlike iPhone, it won't also have a cell radio eating up battery life.
iPhone is .46in thick. The current 80Gb iPod is slightly thicker, .55in. I don't know how much thicker the 1.8in 100Gb, 120Gb, and 160Gb hard drives are, if any.
It may be easy to add VOIP to an iPod sized device, especially if it runs OS X. However, iPod have never come with a speaker, or, AFAIK, the ability to do audio in and audio out at the same time. Without these features, even with Wifi, I don't think VOIP on an iPod (with Wifi) will be very usable. So the interesting thing here will be to see if Apple releases an iPod where VOIP is reasonable.
iPods are now competing against devices like the Archos 605. Various internet tablet like devices play audio and video now. There are more options for portable media playing than there used to be. My speculation is that Apple sees where the market is moving and puts Wifi on at least some of their iPod models.
I have to admit that I don't understand the cannibalization arguments at all. They all presume that people are willing to pay $600 for a 8Gb flash based, touchscreen iPod that's noticably larger than Apple's other flash based offering, regardless of it being a phone. If that's the case, why haven't they bought it already? The reason is that they're really not willing to pay so much for just an wifi iPod if they don't value the actual phone. If that's the case, there no cannibalization. Also, IIRC, Jobs said at the employee all-hands where he made reference to the OS X based iPods, that if any company was going to cannibalize iPhone sales, it would be Apple.
I just figured that there will be people who need a phone, and those people would buy an iPhone. There will be people who need mass storage. They will buy an iPod. The cell phone with lots of mass storage is a niche that doesn't exist yet. Maybe Apple will pioneer it.
Incidentally, my bias is:
I'd like to put my entire music library on an iPod, so I'd like to see lots of storage. I'm currently trapped with Verizon, so I'm not looking for a phone, nor am I interested in AT&T anyways. I'm not interested in Wifi on my iPod at all because most of the Wifi networks I'm near most of the time require 802.1x authentication. iPhone doesn't currently do that. I have no reason to believe that a Wifi iPod will do that out of the box.
I'd like Apple to come out with an iPod with lots of storage because that's what I want. I think a device with wifi will make Apple feature competitive with the rest of the market and help them maintain their dominance. If the device which is effectively the iPhone without the phone is mated to a large hard drive, I really doubt there will be any cannibalization. Those who want a phone will buy an iPhone. Those who want mass storage will buy an iPod. Those who want both a phone and mass storage in the same device aren't any more screwed than they were last week.
Great points
I'm sure someone knowledgeable could chime in on the power consumption of a cell radio, as well as the average difference in power consumption between HD and flash for music and media playback.
Finally, I think if the iPod had wifi it would not be turned on all the time by default, so drain during music and movie playback would be zero.
The biggest issue (outside of power consumption which I simply don't know) is the thickness a HD would add to the iPhone form factor. Has anyone here ever taken an iPod apart? The HD is relatively bulky, and must be insulated for shock protection (further adding bulk.)
Holy $#!@ JC
This has to be the most in-depth comment we've ever gotten. It is longer than the post!
Great stuff too!
Hey hands up who wants there
Hey hands up who wants there iPod to play music & videos?
hmm hmm, only me then!
get a nano ;)
get a nano ;)
Seth Weintraub
nano?
the nano that has video playback? or the nano that has a hard drive based storage?
:)
Video playback
Video playback
um
um, I was meaning I want one with video playback AND a large hard drive.
plus there isn't a nano with video playback. i dont believe the iPhat is a nano, or in fact an apple device at all
I don't believe in Eskimos!
I don't believe in Eskimos!
Okay-
Okay, then just buy a 5G video iPod.
Wifi? Sci-fi
I don't think the next iPods will have wifi capabilities, just look at the excellent reasoning given above. It doesn't seem to me that it would make much sense so soon after iPhone's release. Still another One or two more generations before we see internet etc on the iPod, and by then it wil probably be - as has been noted above - an iPhone.
I'm just uber excited about touchscreen!!!!!
Wooooot
Announce Date vs Release Date
I've never bothered to actually anticipate/follow specific date launches for Apple gear, in the past I just hear there's a new model out and eventually pick it up - Will the new iPods be available on the 5th or is it still gonna be a while til you can actually go pick one up?
My prediction - it will have WiFi that like the iPhone will be very hard to actually use with a wireless network... they will make up for the cost by going with slightly wimpier (approx 80/120 GB instead of 160s) hard drives. No bluetooth or its just a matter of time until the iPod makes a better phone than an iPhone.
Anyone else?
I wonder how many other consumers are like me with the big iPhone/iPod dilemma. My problem is that I can't own an iPhone because there is no AT&T service in my area, and I won't buy a new iPod unless it has something amazing (like WiFi) because I already have a video iPod and right now it's pretty hard to justify having two of them.
both good points. I am sure
both good points. I am sure there are 1000s!
iPhone's are not available
iPhone's are not available in my area. There are a lot of markets outside of the US that would buy an iPod with wi-fi. And from reading reviews from the US a lot of people do not like AT&T or cannot switch carriers. There is a large market that would not cannibilize iPhone sales. An iPod with wi-fi could become a teaser to encourage owners that when cell phone renewals come up in a year or two to reconsider the iPhone.
Also Apple is falling behind. Zune has wi fi, other devices have wi fi. Remember not all purchasers are as educated as readers in this post. They just see features and see that Apple doesn't have it.
I'm enjoying all the iPod
I'm enjoying all the iPod speculation because I'm learning a lot about hard drives, flash drives, wifi, etc. and about different ways people use their iPods.
That being said, i can understand why some people would want a 160 gig iPod. Me personally, I'm having trouble imagining what I would do with the leftover 155 gigs after I load up the music I want to hear regularly.
The idea of using an iPod as a backup device, and then carrying my backup around with me in my pocket, is terrifying. I have an external firewire drive for that, so the only thing that will destroy my backup is a house fire - no chance I'll drop it under a bus or put it through the wash.
Build your own
the best part about OSX based ipods is that they can be easily hacked to add tons of features. look at all the iphone apps that can easily be installed with ifuntastic.
linux can be installed on
linux can be installed on current iPods. Unfortunately the offerings aren't usually compelling or stable enough to keep on there.
Actually only the iPod
Actually only the iPod fullsize is compatible, the 2nd gen iPod Nano and Shuffle are not.
WIFI
I guess another difference is that the iPhone is on a network where you can hop on the internet from anywhere. The iPod would only pick up the internet if you were at a hot spot. That would be another thing that would separate the two devices.
The EDGE network the iPhone
The EDGE network the iPhone uses is slow as hell. It's good for email and maps, but don't try actually surfing with it.
iPod and Safari
My prediction plain and simple
Hard Drive OS X based iPods with WIFI. Basically an iPhone with out the phone part. You will get safari and calendar and contacts, but you won't be able to edit it, just like its always been.
6G iPod video will use a hard drive
I think the replacement for the 5.5G iPod video--which will be a full-screen device with a touchscreen interface--will sport a hard drive for these reasons:
1) Flash memory at high capacities are still very expensive and hard to get.
2) 120 GB 1.8" hard drives are widely available now, and 160 GB 1.8" hard drives will be available by early 2008.
3) Given the MASSIVE size of video files even compressed with QuickTime or H.264, it's way better to use a hard drive to store the media file on this new iPod.
While the so-called iPod mini can play videos, that device is more for occasional video viewing and will be limited to 16 GB of flash memory for now, with possible upgrade to 32 GB of flash memory early in 2008.
I agree... I think what
I agree... I think what we'll be looking at is a 120Gb touchscreen iPod... nothing more, nothing less.
160GB?
So does this mean that there will be no 160GB iPod?
I didnt think they have made
I didnt think they have made 160Gb ones available that small just yet, or commercially anyway!
Dont shoot me down though, I could be wrong, haha.
I thought that 120Gb was the biggest one available to a mass market at present.
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